2026年 回国随想笔记 (ENG/CN)

1. 时间在各个年龄的人身体上的刻痕

这次回国距离上次仅有两年。2024年回来时,妹妹才11岁,身高只有150cm左右,天真烂漫。在家里玩得很开心,用日文来说就是“すぐ打ち解けた”(很快就打成一片)。两年后的今天,她13岁,步入初中一年级。身高突增到170cm,脸上有了青春痘,但最明显的不同是她自我意识的觉醒。她不再主动凑过来玩耍,而是选择独自回到房间,或是抱着平板电脑玩自己喜欢的游戏。青春期的到来,标志着一个发育阶段的结束和新自我的开始。作为只能在特定节点回访的旁观者,我看到的是不同阶段的快照:上一个时期的她已经不在,新的她已经到来。每个时期的自我都是限时的,错过了便不再重来,而每个时期内的互动和体验,都在潜移默化地塑造下一个她。我们自己又何尝不是如此呢?

时间在身体上留下的刻痕,在奶奶身上体现得更加明显。奶奶今年虚岁90,精神依然很好。从她说话的连贯性就能捕捉到她清晰的思维,但感官器官的衰退让她偶尔难以感知外部的变化。比如她双耳听力下降,有时交谈需要重复三四次她才能听见。最明显的变化体现在骨骼和肌肉上。这次回来,明显能看到她的脊椎比记忆中更弯曲了,轮廓在松弛的皮肤下突兀而出,像一条山脊贯穿着背部。因为上半身的重量和长期推轮椅的习惯,她的背已经定型,每次和我们聊天时都需要费力抬头才能对上视线。曾经高大的人都会缩水,曾经照顾我们的人,渐渐变成了需要我们去照顾的人。


2. 命令式的语气与带着烟火味的对话

亲戚家的二儿子8岁,正在上小学二年级。在他家时,经常能听到父母催促他去做作业,而他显然更想玩玩具或看电视。在我们停留的短暂两餐时间里,他们之间的对话基本围绕“是否完成了作业”、“应该做什么”以及“不写作业的后果”展开。二孩的妈妈是全职主妇,包揽了一家人的饮食起居和所有繁琐的后勤工作,而父亲主要专注于工作。促使我写下这篇短文的契机,是在他们家吃晚饭时,这位母亲用她平时纠正孩子拖延习惯的口吻,大声告诫我们去吃饭——类似于“吃!”、“多吃!”、“不多吃怎么行!”。那一桌家常菜非常可口,毫无疑问,她只是想让我们多吃点。但对于并未习惯这种交流方式的我来说,这让我突然意识到:在过去的十几年里,她日日夜夜可能都是这样敦促着她的两个儿子和丈夫。她的话语和语气,已经在周遭环境的潜移默化中被拉扯、磨合成了现在的样子。这种命令式的语气在他们家里并不会激起波澜,更多只是一种带着无奈与关爱的日常表达。


在我极其短暂的家乡停留期间,我也在不同场景中目击了父亲和后妈之间的对话。这种沟通方式在他们眼里极其日常,但在我这个旁听者听来,有时更像是一种原始且直爽的回合制争论。无论是在开车、在邮局还是在菜市场,起因总是某种意见或选择上的分歧。我爸会提出主张,后妈会立刻指出他考虑不周的地方,或提出更好的方案。对话的过程惊人地相似。在激烈时,他们的互动听起来像是在互相指责,但又没有恶意。他们只是在用更大的声音重复自己的立场、指出对方的漏洞。嗓门的大小和语调的起伏,让话语中弥漫着浓厚的烟火味。这种拉扯似乎让他们都不在意对方的感受,只需指出意见的不完善之处即可。这种时而像拳击、时而像拔河的博弈,最终总会达成一种沉默的共识。目击这种交流方式对我是一种冲击,因为它与我所认可的对话习惯、以及我早已习以为常的日文交流方式截然相反,对比极为鲜明。

3. 吹泡泡的枪和扣下扳机的小女孩

在家乡的路上散步时看到的一幕让我想到了最近读到的一句话,大概是【喜欢科技的人,都是反人类的人】。意思是所有科技发明都是朝着原始的人性与习惯的反方向在加速,所以喜爱并且创造科技的人都是反人类的人。


那天早上在外边散步。回程的路上经过了一家店铺,店铺的前面站着一个还是小学低年级的小女孩。她手里拿着一只塑料的泡泡枪,按着扳机,枪里的马达不停地旋转,喷射出来很多小泡泡在她身边飘落。在我路过她的那几秒里,那个小女孩一直按着扳机,越来越多的泡泡在喷出,飘下,破碎。我没能在她的眼神里看到任何的跳跃,她的表情也似乎近似麻木。没有喜悦,也没有失望,只有习以为常地站在那里扣着扳机让接下来的现象继续发生。


科技让我们毫不费力地获得某种可预测的结果。它的存在取代了那之前的辛劳。省时省力、省去过程带来了便利,给予了对结果的完全控制。但在种种体验,尤其是今天这一幕后,我很清晰地感受到,不是所有的事情都是越便利越好。因为在无关乎生存的事情上,极度的便利带来的不是美好,而是一种灾难。它带来的是极度加速所致的体验上的反噬。完全可控的过程导致了意义的消亡。因为意义本身需要阻力、随机性和摩擦力才能产生。科技带来的极度便利源于完全可控的结果,而完全可控的特性与意义的产生是相斥的。省略了做一件事的过程,就是去绕过所有意义产生的前提条件,以及意义本身。100%可预测的结果就是抹杀掉所有的随机性,以及那个过程所带来的惊喜与韧性。


就像玩耍这件事情,或者旅行,或舞蹈,或演奏,这些事情的意义并不是要以最快速达到过程的结尾,而是在全心全意地去做那件事情的每一个瞬间里。


这让我想起了我特别喜欢的Alan Watts在一次录音里说到的:


"When we naively consider what we truly desire, we often imagine having absolute control over everything—creating things like fruit that doesn't rot, clothes that never wear out, conveyances that get us from one place to another instantly, so we don't have to wait, power to do anything that you could conceive—to get this funny technological omnipotence. However, if you apply your imagination to this scenario, you will realize that is not actually what you want. The moment your life is completely under your control and the future becomes entirely predictable, it effectively ceases to be a future and instead becomes the past; you lose the element of surprise, which is the very thing that makes life exciting and meaningful."


(中文大意:当我们天真地思考自己真正渴望什么时,往往会幻想拥有对一切的绝对控制权——本质上是在追求一种技术上的全能。然而,当你的生活完全处于控制之下,未来变得完全可预测时,它就不再是未来,而是变成了过去;你失去了“惊喜”这个元素,而这正是让生活充满激情与意义的核心。)


极度便利的社会是给生活的各个方面无差别加速,制造出一种获取结果的现代真空。这种对过程的压缩,不仅发生在一把玩具枪上,更蔓延到了我们的社会系统与生存策略中。在寻找最优解、效率以及便利的过程中,我们放弃的是那些藏在不断的试错与挫折中让心雀跃,让眼神闪亮的瞬间。它们在被压缩,真空化的过程中消耗,磨损,吞噬。


所以身在科技自身都在急速加速的世界里,我们每个人都需要意识到,我们是有选择的,而且要去做一个选择。我们可以去按下那加速的扳机,继续加速,或者放下那可以加速一切的神器。在没有那么便利,需要适应心理落差的、更真实的环境里去重新找回那些藏在这个不太便利的世界才有的瞬间。

4. 穿着校服的孩子和外卖制服的人

我对国内学生穿的校服并不陌生,自己在小学穿过,也因为是在高中校园里长大和在日本的高中工作过,看到过形形色色的校服和穿着校服的学生在学校附近的身影。而对于我比较陌生的是外卖公司的制服和穿着它们的人。因为家里是一间教师楼里的房子,每次回家都会绕着高中一圈去进入住宿区的大门。在那回去的路边上停着无数的电瓶车。早上出门或者接近下课的时候会看到很多走读生的家长骑着电瓶车载着他们的孩子驶来或离开。从他们开过我们身边的那短促的几秒里,可以看到有些孩子很快活很精神地和自己的父母交流着,但有些孩子的脸上却是挂着异常疲惫的姿态,似乎是没有睡好,又或者是太久没有休息好。


每到接近午休的时候就可以看到穿着校服的学生们从校门口涌出,大家穿着清一色的校服,朝着不同的方向散开。而在同一时间开始出现的是穿着不同颜色的外卖派送制服的年轻人。他们骑着电动车,穿梭在学生和行人之间,一边检查手机屏幕,一边躲避着各种障碍物。大家都在清楚自己身处的制度的规则,争分夺秒地在为一个不那么确定的未来在努力。穿着两种为不同制度而定做的制服的人在我眼前交汇,我仿佛目击了一个群体的两张快照。一张是过去,另一张是未来,而它们都同时出现在现在。它们之间并不存在任何联系,但是我看到了一个时代里,一群人的缩影。


有多少制服是被穿着的人迫不及待地想去脱掉的,又有多少制服是被人期待穿上的。穿上了制服就是作为选手加入游戏,这个游戏有它的规则,也就有了它的局限性。而所有的游戏都是架在真实世界的人与物的互动里。游戏里的人会改变,游戏的规则也会变,但游戏成立的前提也会随着时间的推移慢慢地改变。过于长远以及细微的计划与目标变得荒谬,因为前提条件已经不再成立,而游戏是架构在这些前提条件之上的。作为一个不同制度里的选手,这不禁让我开始思考,我的世界里的所有游戏的成立条件是否还成立。


5. 围在校门口前的父母和孩子手里的便当


每到接近午休时间,家附近的高中学校侧门口都会聚集很多的家长为在读的孩子来送饭。他们拿着便当盒站在栅栏外等待着他们孩子的身影。铃声响起的时候,学生们成群结队地涌出校门,有不少学生徒步回家,有的坐着他们父母的电动车回家吃饭,但也有一些家庭是直接在校门口完成一次投食接力。那些孩子会留在校门的另一边,在校门前等待他们的父母。当他们找到对方的时候会靠到路边,父母会把便当递过铁栏,而孩子们会直接在校门口把刚送过来的饭菜吃完,然后回到校园里。整个过程不到十分钟,但是几乎每天中午都在上演。这个画面不禁让我联想到鸟类世界:成鸟外出捕食,带回养分投喂雏鸟的样子。只不过,鸟儿的世界里没有高考,只有物理世界最毫不保留、弱肉强食的反馈。


父母陪读走读生,一家的努力都是围绕着孩子的学习生活。我看到的只是在我这5-6线城市里的现实,但这样的现实也在其他成百上千的城市里,千千万万个家庭里重复着。因为没有更好的选择,几代人只能共同挤向应试教育的独木桥。在当前的节点,好大学的文凭依然是职场的敲门砖。然而,我们正在步入一个人工智能极度发达、传统就业机会被迅速重塑的世界。在这个谁都未能完全看透的新世界里,曾经的制度、目标以及“最优解”,已开始与现实脱节。而制度的改变往往都是无比缓慢的,因为现有的制度牵扯到了太多有权力的人的既得利益。所以就像意识到没有任何人,也没有任何国家政府能给我们自己的未来兜底一样,我们还是要自己去学习,但是目的是为了迭代自己的认知去认清自己和这个世界。


后续的一些随想


我觉得在接下来的变化加速的这个过渡期里,目标性的思维带来的弊会越来越大于利。那些支撑目标和计划的前提条件,会在被执行前或者执行中被颠覆。越是去细微的计划,随着变化的加速,需要修正的点就越多,一直到变化的速度让更改的成本变得入不敷出。目标性思维所建立的目标是一张快照,它有明确的目的地,但抵达就失落。但长期、可持续的长期主义是方向,它们强调的是一个不断积累的过程,而长期主义带来的结果只是执行它们的副产物。


长期主义的最重要的区别是持续地注重并且认真地去对待在生活里那些重要的面的当下的每一个瞬间,这是所有好的改变的开始。


我们需要意识到的是,我们的改变需要有一个先后之分。我们需要先拥抱长期主义,才可以建造出一个有韧性,甚至反脆弱的人生基础,然后在那基础之上去大胆地玩自己的无限游戏。因为只有一个不易碎的人生基础我们才能无所畏惧地去不断尝试,试错,以及推倒重来。因为我们都不是Alex Honnold。我们需要有安全网去为我们的试错去兜底而不是在一次碰壁后就粉身碎骨于深渊。那些最根本的要素是去试错的前提条件。这些底层的要素的完善的特质就是没有截止日,因为赋予一个截止日是与一个长期主义的人生要素相斥的,就像拥有一个持续健康的身心,这是一个方向,而不是目的地。它存在的意义本来就不是为了去抵达的,而是去树立一个方向,像北斗星一样帮我们定位自己是否在朝着我们想去的方向前进,因为一路向北并没有繁荣等待着我们,我们需要的只是去知道北,在那个方向。我们要去哪儿,那是我们自己去行走发现的。


在我的认知里长期主义和无限游戏是近义词。长期主义受益于复利,复利来自于每个瞬间的行动下的积累。我们的生活里,不管外界如何变化,我们都是具体的人,有着具体的生活。我们应该去着手艾森豪矩阵的右上方的事情,那些重要却不紧急的事情,容易被持续性忽略的事情。比如有氧无氧运动,与家人朋友的互动,学习阅读,创作和分享。因为这些具体的事情都对应着一个可持续的繁荣生活的根本要素,是我们生活里的地基。身心的健康,坚韧的信赖与亲密关系,持续的成长,等等。这些事情是可行动的也是可以从现在开始,去每天经营的事情。不需要宏大的构图或者设计,都可以从一点一滴做到,不管你有多少资源或者社会地位如何,这些东西的重要性是不变的。我无法想象任何外部世界的改变会从根本上去撼动这些底层因素的重要性。反之,我觉得每个人的这些基础有多牢固会在这新一轮的科技发展里被考验。新的科技发展经常会被比喻成浪潮,但也可以被比喻成一次大地震。我们的认知就是我们的地基,我们的生活建立在这些地基之上。我们每个人的受力和负担都不一样。有的人会毫发无损,有的会被夷为平地,但大概率基于过去的思维所建造的都会被损坏。我们都会或多或少地被重塑。但不管地表上的建筑被如何重建,地基的不完整,只会在下一次的地震被夷为平地。


所以,如果你的地基是抗震的,甚至是反脆弱的,那你只会越来越强大,你身边的人也会受益于你。就算被夷为平地,你也可以不计成本的重新生长。


我很难写下未来会如何如何,因为我相信未来是一个伪命题,一个有时有用的伪命题。我们只有当下,所以我会注重当下,也会偶尔畅想未来。不管是谁,我想对于大多数的普通人来说,我们能做的就是去专注我们的当下,用每一个具体的行动去做出一次次小的改变,完成一次次正面的积累,去创造一个有尊严,有伙伴,并且有意思的新世界。


未来没有标准答案,那为何不去重新思考你真正想对这个世界提出什么的提问?


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Reflections on Trip Back in China: 2026


The Marks of Time on Bodies of Different Ages

It has only been two years since my last visit home. When I came back in 2024, my younger sister was only 11, about 150cm tall, innocent, and carefree. She had a great time playing at home—in Japanese, you would say sugu uchi-toketa (we quickly broke the ice). Today, two years later, she is 13 and entering her first year of middle school. Her height has shot up to 170cm, she has some acne, but the most obvious difference is the emergence of her self-awareness. She no longer initiates play or gravitates toward anyone; instead, she retreats to her room or plays her favorite games on her tablet. The arrival of puberty marks the end of one developmental stage and the beginning of a new self. As an observer who can only visit at certain nodes in time, I see snapshots of different stages. I see that the person from the previous era is gone, and a new her has arrived. The self in every era is time-limited; once missed, it never returns. The interactions and experiences of each period subtly shape the next version of her. Are we not the same?
I also feel the marks left by time on the body when I look at my grandmother. My grandmother is 90 this year, and her spirit is as sharp as ever. You can catch the clarity of her mind just by the coherence of her sentences, but the decline of her sensory organs makes it occasionally difficult for her to grasp external changes. For example, both of her ears are struggling to hear quiet sounds, to the point where sometimes a sentence must be repeated three or four times before she registers it. But the most obvious change is in her bones and muscles. Coming back this time, it is visibly apparent that her spine is more curved than in my memory. The outline of her spine protrudes sharply beneath her loosened skin, running like a mountain ridge across her back. Due to the weight of her upper body and her habit of pushing a wheelchair, her back has set into a permanent posture. Whenever she chats with us, she has to strain to lift her head just to meet our eyes. The once tall will all shrink. Those who once cared for us gradually become the ones we must care for.

Imperative Tones and Conversations Steeped in the Smoke of Daily Life

My relative's second son is 8 years old, in the second grade. At their house, you frequently hear his parents urging him to do his homework, while he clearly prefers to play with his toys or watch TV. During the brief span of two meals we stayed for, their conversations revolved almost entirely around whether he had finished his homework, what he should be doing, and the consequences of not finishing it. The mother is a full-time homemaker, managing the family's meals, daily needs, and all other tedious logistical work, while the father focuses primarily on his job. I remember the initial trigger that made me want to write this short piece: during dinner at their house, the mother used the exact same tone she uses to correct her son's procrastination to tell us to eat. It was along the lines of "Eat!" "Eat more!" "How can you not eat more!"
The table of home-cooked food was delicious, and there is no doubt she simply wanted us to eat well. But for someone like me, unaccustomed to her style of communication, it suddenly made me realize that her days and nights over the past ten or twenty years have likely been spent urging her two sons and her husband in exactly this manner. Her words and tone have been subtly pulled, altered, and ground down by her environment into what they are today. Her imperative tone doesn't cause a ripple in their household; it is simply a daily admonition carrying a trace of helplessness and love.
During my extremely brief stay in my hometown, I witnessed conversations between my father and my stepmother in various places and scenarios. In their eyes, their communication style is entirely ordinary, but to me, as an eavesdropper, it sometimes sounds more like a primitive, straightforward, turn-based argument. Whether driving, at the post office, or in the wet market, it always starts with a divergence of opinion or choice. My dad states his position, and my stepmother points out what he failed to consider or suggests a better way to do something. The process is always strikingly similar. At its most intense, their interaction sounds like mutual accusation, yet there is no malice. They are merely pointing out the flaws in each other's opinions or repeating their own stance at a higher volume. The sheer volume and intonation fill the words with the thick smoke of daily, domestic life. The verbal tug-of-war seems to make them disregard each other's feelings; pointing out the imperfection in the other's opinion is enough. This dynamic—sometimes like boxing, sometimes like tug-of-war—eventually reaches a silent consensus. Witnessing this style of communication was a shock because it stands in stark contrast to the conversational habits I recognize and am accustomed to, particularly the Japanese way of communicating. The contrast is incredibly sharp.

The Bubble Gun and the Little Girl Pulling the Trigger

A scene I witnessed while walking the streets of my hometown reminded me of a quote I read recently: "People who love technology are anti-human." It implies that all technological inventions accelerate in the exact opposite direction of primal human nature and habits. Thus, those who love and create technology are inherently anti-human.
I was out for a walk that morning. On the way back, I passed a shop. Standing in front of it was a young girl, probably in the lower grades of elementary school. She held a plastic bubble gun in her hand. With the trigger pressed, the motor inside whirred continuously, shooting out a flurry of small bubbles that drifted down around her. In the few seconds I walked past her, she just kept the trigger pressed down. More and more bubbles shot out, drifted, and popped. I couldn't find any spark of joy in her eyes; her expression was almost numb. No joy, no disappointment. Just standing there out of habit, pulling the trigger, letting the subsequent physical phenomenon play out.
Technology allows us to effortlessly achieve predictable results. Its existence has replaced the toil of the past. Saving time, saving effort, and skipping the process brings convenience and grants complete control over the outcome. But after various experiences, especially this scene today, I feel very clearly that when it comes to things unrelated to basic survival, extreme convenience does not bring something beautiful; it brings disaster. It brings the experiential backlash of extreme acceleration. A fully controllable process leads to the death of meaning. Meaning itself requires resistance, randomness, and friction to emerge. A 100% predictable result erases all randomness, along with the surprise and resilience born from the process itself.
Just like play, travel, dance, or musical performance—the meaning of these activities is not to reach the end of the process as quickly as possible, but rather the wholehearted engagement in every single moment of doing them.
This reminds me of a recording from Alan Watts, which I deeply appreciate:
"When we naively consider what we truly desire, we often imagine having absolute control over everything—creating things like fruit that doesn't rot, clothes that never wear out, conveyances that get us from one place to another instantly, so we don't have to wait, power to do anything that you could conceive—to get this funny technological omnipotence. However, if you apply your imagination to this scenario, you will realize that is not actually what you want. The moment your life is completely under your control and the future becomes entirely predictable, it effectively ceases to be a future and instead becomes the past; you lose the element of surprise, which is the very thing that makes life exciting and meaningful."
A hyper-convenient society indiscriminately accelerates every aspect of life, manufacturing a modern vacuum of instant results. This compression of the process doesn't just happen with a toy gun; it has spread into our social systems and survival strategies. In our pursuit of optimal solutions, efficiency, and convenience, we surrender the moments that make our hearts leap and our eyes shine. They are consumed, worn down, and devoured in the process of being accelerated, compressed, and vacuum-sealed.
The extreme convenience brought by technology stems from fully controllable results, yet this characteristic of total control is fundamentally mutually exclusive with the generation of meaning. To bypass the process of doing something is to bypass the prerequisites for meaning to exist, and to bypass meaning itself.
Therefore, living in a world where technology itself is rapidly accelerating, we must realize that we have a choice, and we must make one. We can press that accelerating trigger, or we can set down the artifact that speeds everything up. We can seek out the old, un-convenient environments—which now feel new and require a psychological adjustment—to rediscover those moments that only exist in a world that isn't quite so convenient.

Kids in School Uniforms and People in Delivery Uniforms

I am no stranger to the school uniforms worn by students in China. I wore them in elementary school, grew up on a high school campus, and worked in a Japanese high school. I've seen all kinds of uniforms and the students wearing them around schools. What I am less familiar with are the uniforms of food delivery companies and the people wearing them. Because my family's home is in a teachers' residential building, I have to walk around the high school's perimeter every time I go home to enter the complex gates. Countless e-bikes are parked along that road. When leaving in the morning or near the end of classes, you see many parents of day students riding e-bikes, shuttling their children back and forth. In the brief seconds they ride past, you can see some kids chatting cheerfully and energetically with their parents, but others wear expressions of extreme exhaustion, as if they haven't slept well or haven't rested properly in a long time.
Around lunchtime, you see students in uniform flooding out of the school gates, a sea of identical clothing scattering in different directions. Appearing at the exact same time are young people wearing delivery uniforms of various colors. They ride their e-bikes, weaving through the students and pedestrians, glancing at their phone screens while dodging obstacles. Everyone is acutely aware of the rules of the system they are embedded in, racing against the clock, fighting for a not-so-certain future. People wearing two types of uniforms, tailored for two different systems, intersect before my eyes. It is as if I am witnessing two snapshots of the same demographic. One is the past, the other is the future, yet they both exist simultaneously in the present. There is no direct connection between them, but I saw the microcosm of a group of people within an era.
How many uniforms are worn by people who can't wait to tear them off, and how many are worn by those who eagerly anticipated putting them on? Putting on a uniform means joining the game as a player. This game has its rules, and therefore, its limitations. And all games are built upon the interactions of people and objects in the real world. The players in the game will change, the rules of the game will change, and the prerequisites for the game's existence will slowly erode over time. Overly long-term or microscopic plans and goals become absurd because the preconditions are no longer valid, yet the game is constructed entirely on those preconditions. As a player in an entirely different system, I can't help but wonder: do the preconditions for all the games in my world still hold true?


The People Feeding Kids at the School Gates

Near lunchtime, a large crowd of parents gathers outside the side gate of the high school near my house to deliver food to their studying children. They stand outside the iron fence, lunchboxes in hand, searching for their children's silhouettes. When the bell rings, students swarm out of the gates. Many walk home, some hop on their parents' e-bikes to go eat, but a number of families complete a literal "feeding relay" right at the school gate. Those kids stay on the inside of the gate, waiting for their parents. When they spot each other, they move to the side. The parents hand the lunchboxes through the iron bars, and the kids eat the freshly delivered food right there at the gate before heading straight back to campus. The whole process takes less than ten minutes, but it happens almost every single noon. This scene inevitably reminds me of the avian world: adult birds flying out to hunt, bringing nutrient-rich food back to regurgitate for their chicks. Except, there is no college entrance exam in the birds' world—only the most unreserved, law-of-the-jungle feedback from the physical world.
Parents uproot themselves to accompany their day-student children; the entire family's efforts orbit the child's academic life. What I see is merely the reality of my tier-5 or tier-6 city, but this reality is repeated in hundreds and thousands of cities, across millions of families. Because there is no better option, multiple generations are forced to crowd onto the single-log bridge of exam-oriented education. At this current node in time, a good university diploma is still the stepping stone into the workplace. However, we are stepping into a world where artificial intelligence is highly developed and traditional employment opportunities are rapidly being reshaped. In this new world that no one has fully grasped yet, the old systems, goals, and "optimal solutions" have begun to decouple from reality. Yet systemic change is always excruciatingly slow, because the existing system involves the vested interests of too many people in power. Therefore, just as we realize that no one—no state or government—can underwrite our future, we must continue to learn. But the purpose is to iterate our own cognition, to clearly understand ourselves and this world.

Subsequent Thoughts

I feel that in the upcoming transition period of accelerating change, the disadvantages of goal-oriented thinking will increasingly outweigh its benefits. The preconditions supporting these goals and plans will be subverted before or during execution. The more microscopic the plan, the more points will need correction as change accelerates, until the speed of change makes the cost of adjustment unaffordable. A goal established by goal-oriented thinking is just a snapshot. It has a clear destination, but arriving brings disillusionment. Long-term, sustainable long-termism, however, provides a direction. It emphasizes a process of continuous accumulation, and the results it brings are merely the byproducts of its execution.
The most vital distinction of long-termism is the continuous and earnest attention to every present moment of the important aspects of life. This is the beginning of all positive change.
We must realize that there is an order of operations to our changes. We must first embrace long-termism to build a resilient, even antifragile, foundation for life. Only upon that foundation can we boldly play our own infinite games. Because only with an unbreakable foundation can we fearlessly experiment, make mistakes, and start over. Because none of us are Alex Honnold. We need a safety net to catch us when we fail, rather than plummeting into the abyss after a single wall strike. Those fundamental elements are the preconditions for trial and error. The defining trait of perfecting these underlying elements is that they have no deadline. Assigning a deadline contradicts a long-term life element. Just like maintaining physical and mental health: it is a direction, not a destination. Its purpose is not to be reached, but to establish a bearing—like the North Star, helping us orient ourselves to see if we are heading where we want to go. Walking straight north doesn't mean prosperity is waiting for us; we just need to know where North is. Where we ultimately end up is something we must walk and discover for ourselves.
In my understanding, long-termism and infinite games are synonymous. Long-termism benefits from compound interest, and compound interest comes from the accumulation of actions in every given moment. In our lives, regardless of how the outside world changes, we are concrete individuals living concrete lives. We should tackle the top-right quadrant of the Eisenhower Matrix: the important but non-urgent tasks, the things that are easily and persistently ignored. For example, aerobic and anaerobic exercise, interacting with family and friends, reading and learning, creating and sharing. Because these concrete actions correspond to the fundamental elements of a sustainably prosperous life; they are the bedrock of our lives. Physical and mental health, resilient trust and intimate relationships, continuous growth, and so on. These are actionable things that we can start managing daily right now. They don't require grand blueprints or designs; they can be achieved bit by bit. Regardless of your resources or social status, the importance of these things remains constant. I cannot imagine any change in the external world fundamentally shaking the importance of these underlying factors.
Conversely, I believe the solidity of every individual's foundation will be tested in this new wave of technological development. New technological developments are often likened to a wave, but they can also be compared to a massive earthquake. Our cognition is our foundation, and our lives are built upon it. The stress and load each of us bears are different. Some will emerge unscathed, others will be leveled to the ground, but in all likelihood, whatever was built on past paradigms of thinking will be damaged. We will all be reshaped to varying degrees. But no matter how the structures on the surface are rebuilt, an incomplete foundation guarantees being leveled again in the next earthquake.
Therefore, if your foundation is earthquake-proof, or even antifragile, you will only grow stronger, and those around you will benefit from you. Even if leveled, you can regrow at any cost.
It is hard for me to write about what the future will be like, because I believe "the future" is a pseudo-proposition—a sometimes useful pseudo-proposition. We only have the present, so I will focus on the present, while occasionally imagining the future. Whoever you are, I think for the vast majority of ordinary people, all we can do is focus on our present, use every concrete action to make small changes, complete positive accumulations step by step, and create a new world with dignity, companionship, and meaning.
The future has no standard answers. So why not rethink the question you want to ask this world?


Comments